Executive summary
The 2026 capital environment for medical device companies is structurally less forgiving than the one most founders raised into a few years ago. Total healthcare venture investment fell to $46.8B in 2025, a 12% decline from the year prior, and SVB has characterized the moment as a 'fundraising reset' in which earlier capital is concentrating around companies that can demonstrate clinical validation, revenue traction, or capital-efficient business models.[1]
$46.8B
total US healthcare VC investment in 2025 — a 12% decline from the year prior
SVB, Healthcare Investments & Exits, January 2026 [1]
~75%
of US medical device startups never see commercial success; venture-backed medtech rarely returns capital
MD+DI, 2025; Focused Ultrasound Foundation, 2024 [6][7]
~50%
of medtech companies that reach market see commercial traction well below expectations
Hercock, Mantra Systems / Andersen Lab interview, 2025 [8]
Inside that tighter environment, a quiet structural problem in how medtech investors evaluate companies has become a meaningful drag on outcomes — for founders and investors alike. Medtech due diligence is, by long-standing convention, technology-first. Commercial story validation runs distantly behind, often deferred until after technical and regulatory criteria are satisfied.[2] In a generous capital environment, that sequencing was tolerable. In this one, it is the difference between a closed round and a passed deal — or worse, a closed round followed by twelve months of post-raise commercial drag that the investor and founder discover together.
This brief argues that medtech founders preparing to raise should adopt a discipline that adjacent industries — pharma licensing, private equity, biotech buy-side diligence — have practiced for decades: pre-diligence. A structured, internal pressure-test of the commercial story before it meets an outside evaluator. The practice is not novel. It is simply not yet standard in medtech, and the founders who treat it as standard will increasingly outperform the founders who do not.
The capital reset has raised the bar
Healthcare venture capital did not collapse in 2025. It tightened, concentrated, and got more selective. SVB's seventeenth edition Healthcare Investments and Exits report, published January 2026, recorded $46.8B in total healthcare VC investment for the year — a 12% year-over-year decline.[1] The narrative around the data is sharper than the data itself. SVB's head of life sciences and healthcare, Megan Scheffel, framed the moment plainly: founders are seeing earlier capital go toward companies with clinical validation, revenue traction, or capital-efficient business models, while first-time and emerging fund managers face longer fundraising cycles.[1]
Underneath that aggregate number, two patterns matter for medtech founders preparing a raise.
First, capital is concentrating in a smaller number of larger deals. Mega-deals of $300M or more accounted for 40% of total healthcare AI spending in 2025, up from 29% in 2023 and 31% in 2024.[1] Outside the AI subset, the same compression dynamic holds: median Series A pre-money valuations for diagnostics and tools companies hit a five-year high at $38M in the first half of 2025, while overall deal count contracted.[3] Bigger checks, fewer of them, going to companies that meet a higher bar.
Second, what counts as 'the bar' has shifted. The reset has pushed investors toward fundamentals over growth at any cost.[1] For a medical device company, fundamentals are not just clinical or regulatory — they are commercial. Investors are asking earlier and more pointedly: who is the buyer, what does the buying process actually look like, what evidence will the buyer require, and how long is the cycle to first paid revenue.
A strong technology with a soft commercial
answer is no longer a problem the market funds through.
It is increasingly a reason to pass.
What medtech diligence actually evaluates
Here is the structural problem. Medtech investor diligence, as practiced today, is sequenced in a way that systematically de-prioritizes the commercial story.
In a 2024 analysis published in Medical Product Outsourcing, life sciences attorney Robert H. Underwood of Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath described the industry's prevailing diligence pattern directly: medtech diligence focuses first on the technology's promise for improving patient outcomes and other clinical metrics, with attention shifting to the competitive landscape and reimbursement only after that initial criterion is satisfied.[2] Underwood is not describing a flaw — he is describing the standard. And he goes on to argue that the standard is increasingly inadequate, urging buyers and investors to consider end-game issues such as reimbursement and commercialization earlier in their planning, since market players often focus heavily on the science itself and pay less attention to supply chain, intellectual property, and reimbursement realities.[2]
The angel investor view confirms the pattern from the other side of the table. In a published account of the diligence process at Robin Hood Ventures, a Philadelphia-based angel group, certain commercial themes emerge 'repeatedly' because so many startups arrive without having addressed them.[4] Among the recurring failures: top-down market sizing extrapolated from inflated industry reports without bottom-up validation; clinician testimonials shaped by confirmation bias rather than honest critique; and unsubstantiated claims about VC interest in the next round that diligence teams routinely verify by direct conversation.[4]
Investors are not unaware of the commercial questions. The pattern is that they often arrive at those questions late, with limited time, and through a screening process that was not designed to surface the answers in depth. Commercial diligence in medtech, where it happens at all, tends to live in three places: reimbursement review, typically focused on whether codes exist and whether the company has a defensible coding strategy[5]; market sizing review, typically a sanity check on TAM/SAM/SOM rather than a bottom-up validation of who actually buys, who signs, and how long the cycle runs[4]; and reference calls, which can be illuminating but are constrained by the network the investor already has access to.
What is rarely evaluated with rigor: the coherence of the commercial narrative under pressure. Whether the buyer story holds up when an outside evaluator probes the buying committee. Whether the evidence package matches the actual decision threshold of the institution making the purchase. Whether the sequencing of the commercial plan — what gets built, sold, and proven in what order — is internally consistent or quietly aspirational.
The gap is not that investors don't care about these questions. It is that the diligence process, as conventionally structured, is not built to answer them well. And the founder is the one who pays the cost when the answers turn out to be wrong.
Where the gap shows up after the raise
The clearest evidence that medtech diligence under-weights commercial readiness is what happens to companies after the round closes.
Industry estimates of medtech failure cluster around the same range. Analyses cited in MD+DI and the Focused Ultrasound Foundation place the failure rate for U.S. medical device startups at approximately 75%, with seventy-five percent of venture-backed companies never returning cash to their investors.[6][7] These are blunt numbers, and the cause is rarely the technology. Dr. Paul Hercock, CEO of Mantra Systems and a former physician, summarized the dynamic plainly in a 2025 interview: more than 90% of early-stage medtech companies fail before they ever reach market, and of those that do enter the market, as many as half see commercial traction well below their expectations because they failed to plan for what is now a challenging reimbursement environment.[8]
The 50% figure is the one that should hold a founder's attention. It describes the company that has done the hard work — the company that cleared the FDA, that found a manufacturing partner, that closed a round, that launched. The company that did everything that pre-revenue diligence asks. And then it discovered, in the months after launch, that the commercial story was thinner than anyone realized while the round was open.
Hercock's diagnosis names the same dynamic Underwood and the angel investors describe from their respective vantages: the commercial questions were under-asked, under-answered, and under-tested before capital was committed.
The cost compounds. A medtech company with twelve months of post-raise commercial drag is not just losing time; it is burning runway against a thesis that needs to be quietly rebuilt while the existing one is publicly maintained. The next round becomes harder, not easier — and the company arrives at that round with a story that has visibly underperformed its prior promise.
This is the failure mode the
diligence processdoes not catch and the founder cannot afford.
It is also the failure mode that pre-diligence
is built to surface.
Pre-diligence is a standard practice —
in adjacent industries
The discipline of running an internal commercial review before exposing a company to outside diligence is not an invention. It is a long-standing practice in adjacent sectors of life sciences and in private equity. Medtech is the conspicuous outlier.
In pharma and biotech, the practice is explicit. Alacrita, a life sciences advisory firm that has conducted more than 350 due diligence assignments, recommends in its published guidance that companies consider running a focused internal due diligence process — preferably using an external diligence team — before exposing the company to formal diligence by investors, acquirers, or licensors.[9] The rationale is straightforward: it is better to find the problems on your own terms than to have them surfaced by a counterparty with leverage. Alacrita also notes that staged diligence offers material process efficiencies, since a small pre-DD team can identify critical issues without the time and expense of a full documentation review, and any showstoppers can be addressed before a formal process begins.[9]
In private equity, commercial due diligence is so standard that it has its own institutional shape. Plante Moran, in its 2025 platform-acquisition diligence guidance, describes commercial diligence as the practice that validates the investment thesis, quantifies the gap between current capabilities and market potential, and identifies the strategic levers required for success — including organizational upgrades, sales force optimization, new growth markets, and product innovations. Without this lens, the firm warns, private equity buyers risk underestimating capability constraints or overestimating market tailwinds, leading to missed growth targets and reduced exit multiples.[10] The buy-side view of commercial diligence is that it is non-optional. It is one of the standard diligence disciplines a serious capital partner runs before committing to a deal.
The asymmetry, then, is structural. In pharma, pre-diligence is a recommended seller-side practice. In private equity, commercial diligence is a required buy-side practice. In medtech, neither side reliably runs a rigorous commercial story review before capital is committed. The founder is the party with the most to lose, and the founder is the party best positioned to close the gap by running the work themselves.
What pre-diligence looks like
for a medtech founder
Pre-diligence is not a strategy exercise. It is not a pitch deck review. It is not coaching, marketing polish, or messaging refinement. It is a structured pressure-test of the commercial story against the questions a serious outside evaluator — investor, partner, acquirer, or large customer — will eventually ask.
A pre-diligence review of a medical device company's commercial story examines, at minimum, five areas.
Buyer clarity. Who, specifically, makes the purchase decision in the institution being targeted? Not the user, not the champion, not the clinician — the economic buyer, and the procurement and committee structure that shapes the buyer's authority. Most medtech commercial stories collapse here under direct questioning, not because the company doesn't know who uses the product, but because the company has conflated user, champion, and signer.
Evidence threshold against decision-grade requirements. What evidence does the actual buying institution need to approve a purchase, and does the company's evidence package meet that threshold? FDA-grade evidence and committee-grade evidence are different things. A device can be approved, supported by a published study, and still be unfundable inside a hospital because the value analysis committee asks for a different kind of proof than the one regulators required. Pre-diligence separates the two and tests where the company stands against the latter.
Narrative coherence. Does the company tell the same story across its investor deck, its sales materials, its website, and its team's verbal pitch? Diligence teams routinely surface contradictions in this space — a device positioned to investors as a workflow improvement and to clinicians as a clinical outcome improvement — and the contradictions become objections.[4]
Sequencing logic. Is the company's commercial plan internally consistent in the order it proposes to do things? Is the company hiring sales before evidence is committee-grade? Is it raising before the buyer story is locked? Is it pursuing partnerships before it has anything proprietary to bring to the table? Pre-diligence pressure-tests the order.
Adoption realism. Even if the buyer clarity, evidence, narrative, and sequencing all hold up, will the product actually get used in the workflow once it's purchased? The Hercock interview describes a class of devices that pass procurement and then fail at the bedside because no one accounted for the friction of the change.[8] Adoption realism is the last filter pre-diligence should apply.
The output of a pre-diligence review is not a strategy document. It is a list of the questions the company cannot answer well, the contradictions in its current story, and the evidence gaps that will surface under scrutiny — surfaced privately, before the round opens, while there is still time to address them.
The founder posture shift
In a constrained capital environment, the founder who has run their own commercial story through a pre-diligence review walks into the investor conversation differently. Not because they have a better story — though they often do — but because they have already met their story's weak points and know how they will answer when those points are pressed.
This is the practical case for pre-diligence as a discipline. The macroeconomic argument is real: capital is tighter, evaluators are more selective, and commercial fundamentals carry more weight than they did three years ago.[1] The structural argument is real: medtech diligence under-evaluates commercial readiness, and the cost shows up after the round closes.[2][8] But the case that lands hardest with a founder is the simplest one. Most medtech founders are technical leaders, clinicians, or operators who built the company around a real innovation. They are typically not commercial-first builders, and the commercial story is the part of the company they have least reason to trust their own judgment on.
Pre-diligence is the discipline of surfacing that uncertainty on your own terms, while you still have time to address it, rather than discovering it across the table from a partner who has leverage you do not.
The medtech industry has always rewarded the discipline of getting the technology right. The next decade will increasingly reward the discipline of getting the commercial story right at the same level of rigor — and pre-diligence is the practice through which that rigor is built.
About RŌG Health
RŌG Health works with medtech and medical device teams at commercialization inflection points — fundraising, pivotal pilots, strategic partnerships, and early revenue conversion — when external stakeholders will pressure-test the company's commercial logic whether the company is ready or not.
Endnotes
- [1] Silicon Valley Bank. "AI Investment Accounted for Nearly Half of Healthcare Investment in 2025; Silicon Valley Bank Releases 17th Healthcare Investments and Exits Report." January 8, 2026. https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/ai-investment-accounted-for-nearly-half-of-healthcare-investment-in-2025-silicon-valley-bank-releases-17th-healthcare-investments-and-exits-report/
- [2] Underwood, Robert H. "Medtech Due Diligence: Proactive Steps to Successful Transactions." Medical Product Outsourcing, September 30, 2024. https://www.mpo-mag.com/medtech-due-diligence-proactive-steps-to-successful-transactions/
- [3] Silicon Valley Bank. "AI Deal Activity Remains Strong in Healthcare Amid Decline in Fundraising; Silicon Valley Bank Releases 16th Edition of Healthcare Investments and Exits Report." July 29, 2025. https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/ai-deal-activity-remains-strong-in-healthcare-amid-decline-in-fundraising-silicon-valley-bank-releases-16th-edition-of-healthcare-investments-and-exits-report/
- [4] Archimedic / Robin Hood Ventures. "A Peek into the Angel Due Diligence Process for MedTech." https://www.archimedic.com/blog/peek-angel-due-diligence-medtech
- [5] Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP. "Conducting Due Diligence on the Medical Technology Company." https://www.faegredrinker.com/en/insights/publications/2009/6/conducting-due-diligence-on-the-medical-technology-company
- [6] Nelson, Scott. "Proven Strategies From Successful Medtech CEOs to Beat the 75% Startup Failure Rate." Medical Device and Diagnostic Industry (MD+DI), June 23, 2025. https://www.mddionline.com/startups/proven-strategies-from-successful-medtech-ceos-to-beat-the-75-startup-failure-rate
- [7] Focused Ultrasound Foundation. "Why It Takes So Long to Develop a Medical Technology (Part 1): The Complex Ecosystem of a Medical Device Startup." 2024. https://www.fusfoundation.org/posts/the-complex-ecosystem-of-a-medical-device-startup/
- [8] Hercock, Paul, MD. "Why 90% of Medtech Startups Die Before Market Launch." Interview, Andersen Lab, July 28, 2025. https://andersenlab.com/blueprint/why-90-percent-medtech-fail
- [9] Alacrita. "Due Diligence: The Pinnacle of Expertise-Based Consulting." https://www.alacrita.com/whitepapers/due-diligence-the-pinnacle-of-expertise-based-consulting
- [10] Plante Moran. "Due Diligence Checklist: 7 Critical Steps." October 20, 2025. https://www.plantemoran.com/explore-our-thinking/insight/2025/10/due-diligence-checklist
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